The Road Not Taken

 作者  FOX9999 (sky walker)                                 看板  P_P_FOX9999  
 標題  上禮拜                                                                  
 時間  Wed May  2 00:50:11 2007                                                
─────────────────────────────────────── 
                                                                               
這是上禮拜的事，                                                               
                                                                               
不過我覺得非常有趣，特此紀錄。                                                 
                                                                               
上禮拜五要去上電子學實驗時，                                                   
                                                                               
張祖拿了一個硬幣要我猜正反面，                                                 
                                                                               
他把硬幣拋起來用手背向上的拳頭接住，                                           
                                                                               
「正面還反面?」                                                                
                                                                               
我答正面，                                                                     
                                                                               
他把拳頭翻過來打開手心，結果是10元幣值，                                       
                                                                               
我:「哈，我猜中了。」                                                          
                                                                               
「嘿~真聰明。那如果剛剛打開是正面，你會說你是對的嗎?」                         
                                                                               
我:「恩....(思考)」                                                            
                                                                               
「所以不管我打開是什麼，結果都是你對。」                                       
                                                                               
我:「ㄟˊ  對耶。」                                                            
                                                                               
--                                                                             
                                                                               
我剛剛洗澡就在想這個，                                                         
                                                                               
上面的情形我解釋成:                                                            
                                                                               
假如雙方在競爭的條件平等，                                                     
                                                                               
遊戲不需實力只憑運氣和機率，遊戲規則若不變，則雙方勝的機率平等。               
                                                                               
現在遊戲過程裡忽然改變了一項可影響結果的條件，不論是哪一方所改變，             
                                                                               
如果一方想法依然不變保持公正，另一方添加了點自私在裡面，                       
                                                                               
結果出來後，則帶點自私的另一方將會獲得全面性的勝利。                           
                                                                               
                                                                               
想起來有點道理，但是卻又不是。                                                 
                                                                               
第一，加入自私就是一種思考，遊戲結果已經不是隨機決定了。                       
                                                                               
再說那天，如果張祖他去改變猜正反面遊戲規則的心態，                             
                                                                               
不是單純為了好玩新奇，而是為了騙到我使我迷惑而猜錯，但最後我並沒有猜錯。       
                                                                               
那麼我以上的解釋就是錯的，因為這樣這遊戲結果決定因素已經牽涉到思考，           
                                                                               
不是全然的運氣和機率所決定了，看來其實分析心理很複雜阿，比物性難多了。         
                                                                               
                                                                               
以上打完後，我覺得我是讀理論讀太多才會去想這個吧 = =                           
                                                                               
不過也可以拙劣地下個總結，但其實我覺得是老生常談了，                           
                                                                               
「只要去行動，就可能獲勝；不去行動，改變不了一切。」                           
--                                                                             
夫兵者不祥之器物或惡之故有道者不處君子居則貴左用兵則貴右兵者不祥之器非君子     
之器不得已而用之恬淡為上勝而不美而美之者是樂殺人夫樂殺人者則不可得志於天下     
矣吉事尚左凶事尚右偏將軍居左上將軍居右言以喪禮處之殺人之眾以哀悲泣之戰勝以     
喪禮處之道常無名樸雖小天下莫能臣侯王若能守之萬物將自賓天地相合以降甘露民莫     
之令而自均始制有名名亦既有夫亦將知止知止可以u930533.CHENG.ab.nthu.edu.tw海     
       grogro:考物性前不適合看這篇文=.=                        05/02 01:00     
 sporter43011:對 我眼花了@@                                    05/02 01:32     
      saioegg:我看的都大笑了XDDDD                              05/03 02:54     
      saioegg:我早就忘了拜託                                   05/03 02:54